First Alert Weather: Storms redeveloping early Thursday morning

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - First Alert AccuTrack shows a lull in activity across our area Wednesday night, but redevelopment will be possible again overnight into Thursday with the best chance for a strong or severe storm south of I-20.

The Storm Prediction Center has updated the severe risk for the rest of the evening into early Thursday morning. An enhanced (orange) risk - Level 3 out of 5 - is in place across our counties to southwest, where strong to severe storms are more likely overnight. Most of the rest of us are under a slight risk - Level 2 out of 5.

Overnight and early morning storms will be capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, heavy downpours that could lead to flooding, and intense lightning. The tornado risk is much lower in comparison but not zero. A Flood Watch has been issued until 7 p.m. Thursday. An additional two to five inches of rainfall could fall in these areas. Please remember to never drive through flooded areas. Turn around, don’t drown!

Storms Shifting South Thursday: Scattered showers and storms will be likely again on Thursday morning with the highest coverage and more robust storms south of I-20. We will likely see a partly sunny sky Thursday afternoon with highs in the lower 80s with a 50% chance for more storms developing. The greatest threat for strong storms tomorrow will likely occur in far south Alabama where a slight risk - threat level 2 out of 5 - has been issued.

Heating Up Friday and Saturday: Rain chances appear slightly lower going into Friday and Saturday. We will hold on to a 30-40% chance for widely scattered showers and storms each day. We will have to monitor the threat for organized storms to develop to our northwest and sweep to the south and east. Models hint that the energy may stay to our south and west, but if it trends farther east, we may have to increase our chances for rain and severe weather. It’ll be something to watch. Friday and Saturday will end up hot and muggy with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s under a partly sunny sky. Heat index values will likely climb into the mid to upper 90s.

Stormy Father’s Day: We could see another round of storms form to our northwest and push into Alabama Sunday into Monday. Father’s Day could be stormy once again with scattered showers and storms. Severe weather can’t be ruled out. The main threat will be damaging winds and large hail. The Storm Prediction Center has already highlighted a severe threat for parts of north Mississippi and northwest Alabama Sunday into Monday morning. Temperatures are forecast to start out near 70°F Sunday morning with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Juneteenth Forecast: The active weather pattern will likely continue as we head into next week. We will hold on to a 50% chance for scattered storms next Monday. Storms will once again have the potential to become strong or severe. Highs are forecast to climb into the mid to upper 80s. The pattern may start to calm down by the end of next week.

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