First Alert Weather: A picture perfect Thursday in store!

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - All is quiet on First Alert AccuTrack across Central Alabama tonight with any lingering clouds gradually fading away. Temperatures are comfortable in the 60s under a partly cloudy sky and northeast winds will turn calm overnight. Our best weather day this week will likely occur tomorrow. We will likely start the morning off dry with temperatures in the upper 50s. I think we’ll end up mostly sunny tomorrow afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s. Winds will likely come from the northeast at 5-10 mph. It should be a great day for the SEC Baseball tournament in Hoover, AL. Just make sure you grab the hat, sunglasses, and apply sunscreen. The UV Index will be very high tomorrow with a burn time of around 15-30 minutes.

Widely Scattered Storms Possible Friday: We’ll likely start Friday morning off dry with temperatures in the upper 50s. We are forecasting a partly cloudy sky Friday afternoon with highs in the lower 80s. We will hold on to a 30% chance for widely scattered showers and storms Friday afternoon and evening. I think the best chance to see a few storms will likely occur north of I-20/59. Any storm that forms Friday could produce heavy rainfall, lightning, and gusty winds. Just monitor the First Alert Weather App if you plan on being out Friday evening for events such as graduation, dinner, or baseball. Remember that when thunder roars, go indoors!

Next Big Thing: The big story over the Memorial Day weekend is tracking a disturbance off the Carolina coast. An area of low pressure will likely try to form off the South Carolina/Georgia coastline Friday. Models show this low moving inland into South Carolina and North Carolina producing widespread showers and breezy conditions Saturday into Sunday. The big question is determining how far west this low will travel. The GFS model shows this system pushing farther west which would bring a lot of rain into north Georgia and also produce rainy conditions into parts of east Alabama Saturday into Sunday. The European model shows us staying mostly dry with the bulk of the moisture staying to our east. The track of this low will be huge regarding where and when we could see rain over the weekend. I’m not convinced we’ll see a lot of rain over the weekend with most of the moisture staying to our east. We will hold on to a 30% chance for a few showers Saturday and Sunday. If the low trends farther west, we will likely increase our rain chances especially for parts of east Alabama. Clouds will likely increase over the weekend with most of us ending up partly to mostly cloudy. With northeasterly flow, temperatures could trend below average with highs in the upper 70s. Average high temperatures for late May are normally in the mid 80s.

Memorial Day Forecast: I think next Monday is shaping up to be nice overall. We will likely see a mix of sun and clouds with morning temperatures in the mid to upper 50s. Humidity levels are forecast to remain comfortable for this time of the year. We have a 20-30% chance for a few isolated showers Monday afternoon with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s, but a lot of us will end up staying dry. Next week will likely trend warmer with highs well into the 80s. A typical summer-like pattern will likely evolve by the middle and end of next week with toasty temperatures and a chance for a few isolated storms each day. We may end up with highs approaching 90°F by next Thursday and Friday.

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