FIRST ALERT: Scattered showers possible at times Sunday

First Alert Weather 10p Update: 9-24-22
Published: Sep. 24, 2022 at 9:13 AM CDT|Updated: Sep. 24, 2022 at 11:16 PM CDT
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BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - First Alert AccuTrack Satellite and Radar shows scattered showers and thunderstorms making their way into Mississippi, heading southeast toward northwest Alabama overnight. Though not everyone is guaranteed to see rain overnight, don’t be surprised to hear at least some raindrops and rumbles of thunder northwest of I-20/59 before sunrise. Otherwise, clouds will continue to increase in coverage with temperatures only falling into the 60s by morning.

NEXT BIG THING: Another cold front will move toward the Southeast on Sunday, bringing an additional dose of refreshing and even cooler and drier air for the start of next week. Before it arrives, scattered showers and storms will move into north Alabama overnight, making their way southward into central Alabama on Sunday morning. So, plan for at least a few showers and rumbles of thunder around to start your Sunday under a mostly cloudy sky. We do not expect a washout by any means. Rain coverage looks lower during the afternoon, but a few showers and storms will still be possible at times. Winds will shift from the south to west-northwest at 5-10 MPH with gusts up to 15 MPH possible. Skies will turn clearer Sunday night, ushering in a beautiful and crisp start to Monday morning.

FIRST ALERT: Scattered showers possible at times Sunday
FIRST ALERT: Scattered showers possible at times Sunday(WBRC)

The first half of the week will feature dry conditions and below average temperatures thanks to the latest cold front moving through. Highs will top out in the low 80s on Monday but only get into the mid to upper 70s for the rest of the work week. The mornings will have a bit of a fall chill in the air with widespread 50s and even 40s possible in some of our typically cooler spots through mid-week! Sunshine will be in abundance with low humidity in place. The big question mark with the forecast has been the eventual path of Ian as it moves toward the U.S. Though initially we looked to stay on the dry, northwest side of the storm, today’s model guidance showcasing a shift farther west would bring a better chance for showers and breezy conditions to at least East Alabama by Friday and next Saturday. Unfortunately, there is still plenty of uncertainty in the forecast, so stay up to date to any changes on the WBRC First Alert Weather App.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Ian continues to move westward through the Caribbean with maximum sustained winds up to 50 MPH. Ian will likely strengthen into a hurricane on Sunday before moving into the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. Initially, model guidance favored landfall along the Florida Peninsula on Wednesday, but recent trends have suggested a path farther westward and slower track through the Gulf. So, residents in the Florida Big Bend, Florida Panhandle, and even Alabama Gulf Coast should not let their guard down yet and review hurricane plans leading up to Ian moving into the Gulf. Conditions will also be favorable for rapid intensification as Ian passes near the Cayman Islands and western Cuba with the current forecast showing Ian as a Category 4 hurricane by Tuesday with max. winds up to 140 MPH. Everyone in Florida needs to at least prepare for a major hurricane being in close proximity over the coming days. Some weakening is forecast prior to landfall, but with so much uncertainty in the forecast, it is always best to be prepared for any outcome. As far as the Alabama Gulf Coast, a path farther to the west would put us on the west side of the storm (the weaker side), but could mean a better chance for rain, breezy conditions, and rough surf by late week.

Meanwhile, Fiona transitioned to an extra-tropical cyclone, lashing Atlantic Canada with heavy rainfall and hurricane-force winds. Tropical Storm Gaston and Tropical Depression Hermine continue to move through the eastern Atlantic, posing no threat to the U.S. Another disturbance in the central Atlantic has a low chance of development over the next several days but is out over open water and should remain a “fish” storm if it does manage to form.

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