FIRST ALERT: More storms likely Wednesday afternoon

Published: Jun. 28, 2022 at 6:09 AM CDT|Updated: Jun. 28, 2022 at 11:21 PM CDT
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BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - Any storm that forms will wane overnight, and temperatures will drop into the lower to middle 70s. Patchy fog will be possible, so be careful traveling if visibility were to drop.

Rain and storms ramp up each afternoon this week and evening and will reach the 50-60% coverage range most afternoons. Temperatures will climb into the upper 80s unless it rains. Muggy so that will create a slightly hotter feel and make it harder for you to cool off when exerting yourself outside. Lows in the lower to middle 70s. Heavy rainfall and frequent lightning will be the top threats from storms this week. Take lightning seriously because there is no way to predict where it will strike but we can seek shelter and erase that worry when the thunder roars.

We will hold on to a wet pattern going into the weekend and continuing into Independence Day. One of the biggest question marks about the forecast is determining what will happen along the Texas coast this week. An area of low pressure could develop and produce heavy rainfall along the coast of Texas. One of our long-range models hint that the remnants of this low could drift into our area early next week enhancing our rain chances. Still too early to determine if it’ll impact us since it hasn’t formed yet. Storm chances will likely peak between noon and 7 p.m. each day. Hopefully the rain and storms will calm down just before fireworks for any Independence Day celebration. Keep up with radar trends daily via the WBRC First Alert Weather app.

We are monitoring three systems. The first area to watch is in parts of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 30% chance for an area of low pressure to develop into a tropical depression or storm in the next five days. This system will likely produce heavy rainfall across southeast Texas this week. We will have to watch this system as it could enhance the moisture levels across the Southeast this weekend and early next week. The next system has been classified as Potential Tropical Cyclone Two. If it becomes organized, it will likely become Bonnie. It is forecast to move into the Caribbean and impact Central America by Friday and Saturday of this week. Areas that could get impacted include Nicaragua and Costa Rica. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting it could briefly become a hurricane before making landfall. It will not have any impact on our forecast. The last system we are watching is right behind Potential Tropical Cyclone Two. It has a low chance of developing over the next five days and will approach the Windward Islands by the end of the week producing showers and storms across that area.

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