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FIRST ALERT: Rain returns Saturday, wintry weather possible Sunday

Published: Jan. 13, 2022 at 5:45 AM CST|Updated: Jan. 13, 2022 at 9:05 PM CST
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BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - We had a few isolated showers to the far east earlier tonight, but dry weather is expected for the remainder of the night. Temperatures will drop into the low to mid 30s. The dry weather continues through Friday, but rain returns on Saturday.

Winter storm watches are already in effect for states like Arkansas and North Carolina. A significant winter storm is expected to impact those regions.

As for our area, this same storm system could bring snow to the state on Sunday. Low pressure will lift across the state Saturday evening, producing rain. Things get interesting as a trailing upper-level system crosses the state on Sunday. The atmosphere will quickly cool, with rain mixing with or changing to snow. This will highly depend on the strength and track of the upper-level storm system. Global data and some short-range guidance continue to suggest greatest accumulation potential in areas north of I-20, but I still think we could see some light accumulations further south. However, when you look at surface temperature forecasts for Sunday, we don’t really see a major drop below freezing until the evening and overnight. So, with a wet ground and temps near or above freezing through most of the day, this would support the lighter accumulation scenario. We will need to remain weather alert just in case we need to increase the snow totals and we’ll also need to be alert for possible icy patches Sunday night, as temperatures drop into the 20s.

Partly sunny for Martin Luther King Jr. Day and cold with highs in the middle 40s. Back in the 20s again on Monday night but a moderating temperature trend after that. Our next chance for showers will likely move in Wednesday evening and move out Thursday morning.

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