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FIRST ALERT for a cold front to bring us some rain and storms Monday

Published: Oct. 23, 2021 at 6:56 AM CDT|Updated: Oct. 23, 2021 at 11:27 PM CDT
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BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - A FIRST ALERT for patchy fog to form overnight, especially near bodies of water. We will see a spread in temperatures to start on Sunday with lows in the upper 40s and lower 50s east of I-65, and middle and upper 50s west. We should wake up tomorrow morning with some extra cloud cover too as a weak disturbance from the southwest moves into Central Alabama. We will likely see a partly sunny sky tomorrow and temperatures warming up into the upper 70s and lower 80s. Temperatures could end up 5-10 degrees above average for late October. We will remain dry tomorrow.

FIRST ALERT: Next week is looking very active across the eastern half of the United States as a series of cold fronts and disturbances move across the US. The first cold front is set to arrive late Monday morning northwest and move across Central Alabama during the early afternoon hours. We will have to monitor the storms entering northwest Alabama during the pre-dawn hours on Monday, because a couple could still be on the strong side, but generally most will be weakening as they arrive. Scattered showers and a few storms will continue to move across the state on Monday morning and early Monday afternoon. An isolated strong storm can’t be ruled out Monday, mainly north and east. The main threat will be gusty winds and frequent lightning. The cold front will move through the area providing us with a cool down for Tuesday. Morning temperatures could drop into the upper 40s and lower 50s with highs only climbing into the upper 60s and lower 70s. It will be dry with increasing clouds late in the day.

Our Next Big Thing is a significant system that will move across the Midwest and then head east around the Wednesday/Thursday time frame. Models are having significant issues figuring out the placement, intensity, and timing of this cold front. Data continues to show the greatest chance for severe weather to remain along the Gulf Coast, though we could deal with heavy rainfall. We might have to add flooding as a potential risk. The system may also take a while the clear the area and produce lingering clouds and showers into the first part of Halloween weekend. It also looks like the system will bring windy conditions and cooler than normal temperatures.

Plan for changes in the forecast around October 27th-30th as we get the latest information. I have already adjusted the chance for precipitation between those dates and the forecast tonight could be completely different by Monday. We will update you constantly through television, social media, and through our WBRC First Alert Weather App. For now, Halloween looks dry and cool.

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