BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS NEAR FLORIDA: The first tropical depression of the year has developed about 125 miles east of Florida. There is a good chance this system will become the first named storm, which would be Arthur. The forecast track keeps this system out of the Gulf of Mexico as it’s expected to continue north, impacting the Carolina’s on Monday.
SCATTERED STORMS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY: The weather story at home will be increasingly muggy conditions for Sunday, with a good chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. No organized severe weather is expected but I would check the First Alert Weather App before planning outdoors activities, just in case there are lightning alerts in the vicinity. Otherwise, it will be a partly to mostly cloudy day, with highs in the 80s. A disturbance to our west will slowly track east and cross Alabama on Monday. This will bring another chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, with temperatures topping out near 80º.
COOLER BY WEDNESDAY: Forecast guidance shows an upper level trough developing over the region beyond Monday and this setup will generate some clouds and possibly a few isolated showers at times through mid-week. This setup will also cause the heat levels to backoff, with highs in the 70s for Tuesday and Wednesday, with lows in the 50s.
THE END OF THE WEEK: The upper level trough responsible for the slightly cooler setup next week will start to lift out of the region on Thursday. Temperatures will reach into the 80s on Thursday, with dry weather, and lots of sunshine. The heat will continue to build on Friday and Saturday, with an increase in muggy levels and highs in the middle 80s. It’s possible a shower or storm could move in from the northwest an impact the state on Friday before another high pressure ridge builds in next weekend. So we’ve introduced a 30% chance of a shower or storm to the forecast for the end of the work-week. I will be sharing the long range forecast and the updated tropical advisory starting at 9PM on WBRC Fox6.