FIRST ALERT: Tropical development possible in Gulf; Rain chances on the rise

FIRST ALERT: Tropical development possible in Gulf; Rain chances on the rise

BIRMINGHAM, AL (WBRC) - We are tracking numerous severe storms across the nation's midsection and a tropical wave over the Gulf. There is rain all around, however, the big question is when will we see some of this wet weather?

For now, dry weather will continue to dominate the scene with lows in the 60s Monday night. We could see a shower to the east early Tuesday and the chance for a shower or storm will increase Tuesday afternoon. That said, the wet weather is going to remain very hit or miss, so temperatures will have a chance to reach into the 80s and possibly low 90s in some areas.

FIRST ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT: We continue to monitor a subtropical low that may become better organized as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico. There is a 30% chance of development over the next few days. I've checked some of the environmental parameters and water temperatures, which remain marginal. While hurricane season won't officially get underway until June 1st, we can see tropical development in May, especially weaker systems over the Gulf.  The path of the system will tell us a lot about the coverage of rain for the week. The coverage of scattered showers and storms will increase on Wednesday and Thursday; however, some of the heaviest rain could be east of I-65 based on the path of the low. It is going to become increasingly humid throughout the week, which will make for warm and steamy weather by the weekend. I do think most of the wet weather will become more limited to the afternoon and early evening by the end of the week. So, plan on more of a summer-like setup for the graduation ceremonies on Friday and the Regions Tradition. Keep an eye to the sky in the afternoons for pop-up storms. Also, check our First Alert Weather App for possible lightning alerts.

Copyright 2018 WBRC. All rights reserved.